Thursday, December 30, 2004

Free Agent Endgame

In the next week or two, Carlos Beltran will likely decide where he's going to play for the majority of his remaining career. Once he does, all the remaining big name free agents will likely follow suit. So what does this mean for the Mets?

Here are the possibilities from best to worst --

If the Mets sign Beltran:

The Mets likely will abandon their pursuit of Carlos Delgado (unless Fred Wilpon really opens up his pocketbook, which is possible) and the Yankees will bid heavily. The Mets will then likely sign one of Doug Mientkiewicz, Travis Lee, Tino Martinez, or John Olerud to play first.

If the Mets further sign Delgado, a young man in Manhattan will be crying (for joy) like a little baby from now until spring training.

If the Mets lose Beltran to the Yankees:

Expect the Mets to win the Delgado bidding war and make a strong run at Magglio Ordonez for the outfield with an outside chance at Sammy Sosa or Manny Ramirez ending up in orange and blue.

It's certainly possible that the Red Sox would take Manny off the market once Beltran signs, since they most likely want to trade Manny so they can get Beltran. However, if Delgado signs with the Mets BEFORE Beltran signs, Manny to the Mets may suddenly make a spike in likelihood. Under this scenario, the Mets would decide to take Manny and let the Sox and Yankees bloody themselves over Beltran instead. Wouldn't that be entertaining?

Again, this is a pretty remote possibilty since Delgado seems to be waiting for the Yankees to get involved, something they won't do unless they don't get Beltran.

If the Mets lose Beltran to the Astros:

This would be a nightmare. While on one hand I'd be happy to see Steinbrenner not get his prize for once, the Mets would also likely end up in a bidding war with the Yankees for Delgado, a war they may not win. This would then lead to...

If the Mets lose Beltran AND Delgado:

The biggest nightmare of all. Under this scenario, Ordonez would certainly be a likely target but here Omar will definitely look into Sosa and/or Ramirez (if he's still on the market) with Sosa in Flushing likely becoming Plan A.

Bottom line here, we better hope the Mets at least one Carlos in the next two weeks. Otherwise there may be a gloomy start to the New Year in Flushing.

5 Comments:

At 5:28 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

As ab AL observer, I just have to say that I hope the Mets get Beltran. He feasted on Mariners pitching with KC, and I don't want to see him in Yankee pinstripes. Besides, his talent will be wasted in Shea, because the team gave 25 mill to Benson and might get the oft-injured Delgado as well. By the way, thanks for taking Mike Cameron off the M's hands.

 
At 8:47 AM, Blogger Rene R. said...

Free Agent EndGame: Very interesting reading Jay.

Didn't realize that the reason Boston is trying to move Manny is because they would like to get invoved in the Beltran Sweepstakes? I thought they wanted to get out from under the contract of Ramirez ($$). Where would Damon play (LF). I can't imagine Theo giving the Mets Manny & Pedro. Anyway's your worst case senerio is scary. No Carloses instead Sosa & Maggs? I like Maggs but he's comming off major knee surgery...We deserve Beltran. Mr. Wilpon owes us big time (A-Rod, Vlad).
Not to mention placing his son (Jeff) atop the player decision makers in the organization. Witch coincidently destroyed our favorite team the last 3 years...Have a great New Year & Lets Go Mets!!!

 
At 10:05 AM, Blogger Jay said...

Yeah Rene -- there was an article in the Boston Globe a while ago basically saying that the Red Sox would love to replace Manny with Beltran, essentially spending the same amount of money per year (or less) on a younger player in his prime. Damon would probably play left if Manny departed. It's still a pretty remote possibility though.

At least the Yankees signing Tino yesterday probably means that they're not going to bid on Delgado. Hopefully there will be no worst case scenario at all for the Mets next year.

Have a Happy New Year everyone!

 
At 10:44 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

The intriguing name that was brought up as a trade possibility last week but is now being left out is Eric Byrnes. Yes, I believe the Mets should go all out for Beltran. But if they don't get him, they should immediately launch into an aggressive 'Plan B' by signing Delgado and Ordonez and trading for Byrnes. Byrnes is the 'down in the dirt' type in the mold of Dykstra and Backman that we Met fans would love. And (assuming they could somehow dump Floyd) give them an extemely exciting and competitive line-up in 2005.

 
At 12:01 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Only Anonymous because I am lazy. Bobby V. on WFAN said he is concerned about Magglio that he has a degenerative condintion not unlike Bo Jackson. If I offered anything, it would be one year with club and obtainable (if healthy)options

 

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